Decadal Climate Predictability and Prediction: Where Are We?.

Mehta, Vikram, Meehl, Gerald, Goddard, Lisa, Knight, Jeff, Kumar, Arun, Latif, Mojib , Lee, Tong, Rosati, Anthony and Stammer, Detlef (2011) Decadal Climate Predictability and Prediction: Where Are We?. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (5). pp. 637-640. DOI 10.1175/2010BAMS3025.1.

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Abstract

The importance of decadal climate variability (DCV) research is being increasingly recognized, including by the World Climate Research Program (WCRP) and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). An improved understanding of DCV is very important because stakeholders and policymakers want to know the likely climate trajectory for the coming decades for applications to water resources, agriculture, energy, and infrastructure
development. Responding to this demand, many climate
modeling groups in the United States, Europe, Japan, and elsewhere are gearing up to assess the potential for decadal climate predictions. The magnitudes of regional DCV often exceed those associated with the trends resulting from anthropogenic changes. Therefore, differentiating between the two is also very important for planning, implementation, and national and international treaties.

Document Type: Article
Additional Information: Meeting Summary: The Eighth Workshop on Decadal Climate Variability, 12.-15.10.2009, St. Michaels, Maryland
Keywords: Climatology; climate change; climate predictability
Research affiliation: OceanRep > GEOMAR > FB1 Ocean Circulation and Climate Dynamics > FB1-ME Maritime Meteorology
Refereed: Yes
Open Access Journal?: No
Publisher: AMS (American Meteorological Society)
Projects: Future Ocean
Date Deposited: 05 Jul 2011 07:08
Last Modified: 23 Sep 2019 18:11
URI: https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/11961

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