Reversals in temperature‐precipitation correlations in the Northern Hemisphere extratropics during the Holocene.

Herzschuh, Ulrike, Böhmer, Thomas, Li, Chenzhi, Cao, Xianyong, Hébert, Raphaël, Dallmeyer, Anne, Telford, Richard J. and Kruse, Stefan (2022) Reversals in temperature‐precipitation correlations in the Northern Hemisphere extratropics during the Holocene. Open Access Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (22). Art.Nr. e2022GL099730. DOI 10.1029/2022GL099730.

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Abstract

Future precipitation levels remain uncertain because climate models have struggled to reproduce observed variations in temperature-precipitation correlations. Our analyses of Holocene proxy-based temperature-precipitation correlations and hydrological sensitivities from 2237 Northern Hemisphere extratropical pollen records reveal a significant latitudinal dependence and temporal variations among the early, middle, and late Holocene. These proxy-based variations are largely consistent with patterns obtained from transient climate simulations (TraCE21k). While high latitudes and subtropical monsoon areas show mainly stable positive correlations throughout the Holocene, the mid-latitude pattern is temporally and spatially more variable. In particular, we identified a reversal from positive to negative temperature-precipitation correlations in the eastern North American and European mid-latitudes from the early to mid-Holocene that mainly related to slowed down westerlies and a switch to moisture-limited convection under a warm climate. Our palaeoevidence of past temperature-precipitation correlation shifts identifies those regions where simulating past and future precipitation levels might be particularly challenging.

Document Type: Article
Keywords: PalMod
Refereed: Yes
Open Access Journal?: No
Publisher: Wiley, AGU (American Geophysical Union)
Related URLs:
Projects: PalMod
Date Deposited: 09 Nov 2022 10:43
Last Modified: 07 Feb 2024 15:32
URI: https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/57263

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