Dullo, Wolf-Christian and Latif, Mojib (2008) Corals track past Hurricanes. IFM-GEOMAR [Annual] Report, 2007 . pp. 22-24.

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Abstract

The strong hurricane activity observed during the last decade fuelled the debate whether global warming is a major force. The crux of the recent debate is the limited length of the reliable instrumental record that exacerbates the detection of possible long-term changes in hurricane activity, which naturally exhibits strong multidecadal variations in association with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). We analysed the stable oxygen (δ18O) of a Caribbean brain coral which records both hurricane activity and AMO. This proxy record is equally sensitive to variations in sea surface temperature (SST) and seawater δ18O, with the latter being strongly linked to precipitation and evaporation. The SST and precipitation signals in the coral provide the longest continuous proxybased record of hurricane activity that interestingly exhibits a long-term increase over the last century.

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