Petrick, Christof (2013) Validating Modelled Climate Variations Using Geodetic Monitoring Data. (PhD/ Doctoral thesis), Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany, 121 pp.

Preview

Text Petrick_Diss.pdf - Published Version Available under License German copyright act UrhG. Download (14MB) | Preview

Abstract

On the Earth, the atmosphere, ocean, and land interact with each other. For example, an atmospheric pressure system directly influences the Sea Surface Heights (SSHs) in a barometric sense; the associated wind transfers momentum from the atmosphere into the ocean, which alters the ocean currents affecting again the SSHs. The integrated effects of all motion components directly influence the angular momentum of the Earth, while the integrated effect of all mass variations alters the Earth’s inertia. Both can excite the Earth Orientation Parameters (EOPs).
In this study, we use the Community Earth System Model (CESM) to simulate mass and motion variations within a coupled climate system. The modeled mass and motion variations of all subcomponents are used to compute the total excitation functions, which then are compared to very precise global EOP observations, provided by the International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS). For further reference, the modeled excitation functions of the subcomponents are compared to operational excitations, provided by the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ). This allows an evaluation of the global model behavior and of the subcomponents. Further, regions of particularly high influence on the excitations as well as regions of especially strong dynamical coupling are identified.
Four CESM experiments were performed, one reference experiment featuring solely natural variations, while the others separate the influence of (I) a coupled ocean component; (II) the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and (III) anthropogenic forcings, e.g. greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and ozone depleting substances (ODS). The modeled EOPs are in good agreement with the reference data sets, but reveal an slight overestimation of the modeled atmospheric mass component in the North Pacific for annual to interannual timescales, leading to deviations in the X1 component. Analyzing variations among the CESM experiments reveal (I) the complete absence of interannual subtropical tropospheric jet variability when using a climatological ocean; (II) a significantly increased atmospheric mass variation in the arctic region in the absence of a QBO; and (III) hardly any modeled effect of the global dynamics with respect to anthropogenic forcings. Finally, the North Pacific - a region with particularly strong atmosphere-ocean coupling - is investigated, highlighting wind driven ocean mass variations within the model and GRACE observations.
The identified significant wind patterns explain the modeled ocean mass variations and can be directly projected onto ERA-Interim data in order to estimate the independent GRACE observations. The here presented relation between the ERA-Interim winds and the GRACE gravity field observations supporting the following two conclusions: (I) ERA-Interim winds can be used to further refine GRACE observations; (II) GRACE observations contain assimilation worthy information for atmospheric models.

Actions (login required)

View Item