Quantifying the extremity of windstorms for regions featuring infrequent events.

Walz, Michael A., Kruschke, Tim , Rust, Henning W., Ulbrich, Uwe and Leckebusch, Gregor C. (2017) Quantifying the extremity of windstorms for regions featuring infrequent events. Open Access Atmospheric Science Letters, 18 (7). pp. 315-322. DOI 10.1002/asl.758.

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Abstract

This paper introduces the Distribution-Independent Storm Severity Index (DI-SSI). The DI-SSI represents an approach to quantify the severity of exceptional surface wind speeds of large scale windstorms that is complementary to the SSI introduced by Leckebusch et al. While the SSI approaches the extremeness of a storm from a meteorological and potential loss (impact) perspective, the DI-SSI defines the severity in a more climatological perspective. The idea is to assign equal index values to wind speeds of the same singularity (e.g. the 99th percentile) under consideration of the shape of the tail of the local wind speed climatology. Especially in regions at the edge of the classical storm track, the DI-SSI shows more equitable severity estimates, e.g. for the extra-tropical cyclone Klaus. In order to compare the indices, their relation with the North Atlantic Oscillation is studied, which is one of the main large scale drivers for the intensity of European windstorms.

Document Type: Article
Keywords: windstorms; quantification of extremity; North Atlantic Oscillation; extra-tropical cyclones; generalized Pareto distribution
Research affiliation: OceanRep > GEOMAR > FB1 Ocean Circulation and Climate Dynamics > FB1-ME Maritime Meteorology
Refereed: Yes
Open Access Journal?: Yes
Publisher: Wiley
Date Deposited: 03 Aug 2017 08:52
Last Modified: 06 Feb 2020 09:15
URI: https://oceanrep.geomar.de/id/eprint/39011

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