Jia, Yue , Davis, Sean, Tegtmeier, Susann, Quack, Birgit, Pisso, Ignacio, Portmann, Robert and Rosenlof, Karen (2023) Underestimation of Anthropogenic CHBr3 Emissions: Implications for Ozone Depletion. [Poster] In: AGU Fall Meeting 2003. , 11.-15.12.2023, San Francisco, USA .

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Abstract

Bromoform (CHBr3), a recognized contributor to stratospheric ozone depletion, has been largely exempt from the Montreal Protocol's regulation due to its short atmospheric lifetime and large natural emissions. Using our recent CHBr3 emission inventory containing both natural and anthropogenic sources, we reevaluated the role played by the latter in the total CHBr3 flux into the Northern Hemisphere extratropical stratosphere. Derived mainly from ship ballast, power plant cooling and desalination plant brine water, these anthropogenic sources suggest a substantial underestimation in previous global CHBr3 emission estimates. Anthropogenic sources have been underestimated by 31.5% globally, and more alarmingly, this underestimation escalates to 70.5% when focusing on the Northern Hemisphere. Consequently, atmospheric CHBr3 concentrations are also significantly higher than previous estimates, especially over the NH extratropics during boreal winter. The ODP-weighted emissions in the NH based on historical ECMWF meteorology are ~28.2 Gg Br/year, increased by ~78% above previous estimates, suggesting a more significant contribution of anthropogenic CHBr3 to stratospheric ozone depletion, especially in the NH lowermost stratosphere. To study the potential impact of these revised emission inventories, we employ the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM), which enables us to project the future ozone depletion from CHBr3 under climate change scenarios and evaluate the necessity for regulatory measures to manage anthropogenic sources.

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